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Ghillie Dhu's avatar

If you want to really rabbit hole on this, look into plasma sails.

TL;DR: the idea is to use (massless) magnetic fields in lieu of material sails, thereby circumventing the thinness requirements.

smopecakes's avatar

It's a pretty interesting experience looking behind the curtains. I was really interested in fusion for a while and surprisingly there are some insufficiently hyped possibilities. Spin polarization of the fuel could increase reactivity to the point of increasing the reaction power by 70%. It's predicted that a high-powered tokamak plasma will have a more stable boundary effect for the "scrape off layer", which may double the output. If the effects work in harmony you have a three times more powerful reactor. Overall you can find more reasons to doubt, but interestingly these are often as hyped up as the positives. People prefer a binary prediction.

Climate change has been a very interesting one too. If you get into the weeds of the existing studies you may not notice that they are located in a brightly lit section of the possibility space which is almost exclusively focused on costs. It appears to me that the more complicated models even obscure to the people using them how a number of small biases in one direction can add up to a lot.

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